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Last forecast for this matchAs of July 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM ETForecast high was 25°C5°C below normal

Forecast high was .

This was 5°C below normal.

The Climate Story for:

Spain flagSpainvs.Argentina flagArgentina

Final

Sun, July 19, 20263:00 p.m. EDTNew York New Jersey StadiumOpen air

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

47%Chance of performance-impairing heat+17%From climate change

The July 19 match at New York New Jersey Stadium (Spain vs. Argentina) had a 47% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 17 percentage points higher due to climate change.

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Spain flagSpain
Argentina flagArgentina

July 19, 2026 • New York New Jersey Stadium

FinalOpen air
47%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+17%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.